Denninger covers the FOMC announcement in a way only he can. Skip rading the announcement part and just read his commentary. It reads much better that way. the come back here and explain why the hell the market is not capitulating south like it should be.FOMC Announcement - 8/10
Not sure if this is an inverted HnS or not. target 41 if it is.Remember - nothing should surprise you in these markets. Kind like the FOMC statement.
That move backtested the blue wedge support perfectly. I guess everything is just fine. Nothing to see here. Move along. I told you if it got thru the green line it would go to the blue one.
RUT - Leading the pack so far with the Q's. SPX and DOw are lagging those two. If 639 goes look out for 612. Of course in these markets you can not discount one bit a ramp job on the worst news ever to 675. That is reality. VIX is inline with SPX. I was hoping for a telling divergence there.
Well, they have not been able to bet back into the wedge YET! I'll post more if anything happens. If it gets thru the green line it goes to the blue one. /ES trading at VWAP here. Want some range to consider? Upper daily BB is 1140 and lower BB is 1060. Daily 20ma is 1100. 1111 is the 200ma, that night be the most important number.
Here is the wedge on a 4hr chart that looks weak.Those divergences are hard to ignore.So is the decline in volume.
“Until they become conscious they will never rebel, and until after they rebelled they cannot become conscious” — George Orwell
Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Morning Post, SPX, S&P 500, E-mini
Quickie cause I'm trading and anything in super detail is meaningless as the market waits for the FOMC at 2:15. Either way you are betting all I suggest is that you have stops in place. INTC did not help the cause.
Minis fell right to the 1112 support level and grabs the two wedge supports at the same time all the while the minis 30m is bottoming with divergences. If you want to see the whole wedge I'm sure it is in a post below somewhere. If 1112 goes
Showing the COMPQ this AM as it's divergences and wedge are the best that represent the broader situation. We'll not get ahead of ourselves and start talking targets till after the FOMC announcement. I will say that if it is bad, the target will be pretty low. GL and good trading. Keep those stops tight just in case. I'll post charts if the action gets hot and heavy.
Minis fell right to the 1112 support level and grabs the two wedge supports at the same time all the while the minis 30m is bottoming with divergences. If you want to see the whole wedge I'm sure it is in a post below somewhere. If 1112 goes
Showing the COMPQ this AM as it's divergences and wedge are the best that represent the broader situation. We'll not get ahead of ourselves and start talking targets till after the FOMC announcement. I will say that if it is bad, the target will be pretty low. GL and good trading. Keep those stops tight just in case. I'll post charts if the action gets hot and heavy.
Monday, August 9, 2010
To QEII Or Not to QEII, That Is The Question.
I think Stephen Hawking has got it right Abandon the Earth. That's right, get the hell out of Dodge.""It will be difficult enough to avoid disaster on planet Earth in the next hundred years, let alone the next thousand, or million. The human race shouldn't have all its eggs in one basket, or on one planet. Let's hope we can avoid dropping the basket until we have spread the load."" I think Stephen is a bit conservative in his estimates. We all know the sun is expanding and will engulf the earth in like 5 billion years (give or take a few), but how about this Stephen - it will be even more difficult to avoid disaster in like the next possibly 5 to 10 months. Given the N. Korea and Middle east tensions combined with some global financial contagion, you get a witches brew that leads to near term disaster.
So the spin masters that artfully play extend and pretend and kick the can in order to save their ass for another year before the truth (that we all already know) comes out that the world is insolvent, come up with QE II. Ah, the Keynes spirit is alive and producing at it's finest hour, so have no fear of a Weimar repeat Apparently all the recent data from inventories to employment may just be real after all. Fed set to downgrade outlook for US from the FT appears to tee up the bad news we all know is coming. With San Francisco Fed: "A Recessionary Relapse Is A Significant Possibility Sometime In The Next Two Years" and Ben's statements about "Uncertainty" maybe we should take all this a bit more seriously.
Maybe the fact that GSEs Celebrate Geithner's Invitation To The "Recovery" With A Demand For $3.3 Billion In New Taxpayer Capital should be another clue. Maybe Rosenberg Slams "Doubly Pathetic" Non Farm Payroll Report might signal something is a muck. Maybe Here Come The Lies (Social Security) or Reality Beckons (Government Pensions) might clue someone to reality. Maybe the first lady's personal attempts to revive Spain's economy are supposed to inspire us to believe all is well and that she's just not abusing the few valuable taxpayer dollars left while she can (causethey we all know a second term is totally out of the question). Well you would never know by the ever soaring markets reactions to the Visualizing The Bond Bubble Inflows that cause vaporized volume ramp jobs are apparently in vogue and we all must follow our master's wishes and buy buy buy. Markets do love to climb the wall of worry, but in this case we all must wonder who the hell is behind all this buying action in the markets?
If this is true Goldman Explains Why It Is "QE2 Or Bust" For Stocks Tomorrow then we're all screwed. I guess we have to face the facts that all $25 or so TRILLION we've pumped into save theeconomy banks has done nothing but stabilize make things worse.
Mish rocks it in Fooled by Stimulus - Structural Problems Still Intact. "Even now, Bernanke displays little public awareness of what is going on. It would be interesting to hear what he says in private at the FOMC meetings in comparison to the soundbites the Fed delivers to the public. If FOMC soundbites represent what the man really thinks, Bernanke is nearly as clueless as ever, with little understanding of what went wrong or why, what the policy errors were, and what the Fed's role in this mess was." Move along, nothing to see here, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain. All is well and we'll just jeep trowing money at the problem cause the American Taxpayer is good for it.
Tomorrow's report is going to be another pack of half truths (I say that cause there will apparently be no speak of recoveries or V shaped recessions). Apparently the market is pricing in QE II and all the good stuff that comes with it. Deficits, schmeficits we're gonna spend toll we run out of ink or the presses go down for good. At the end, we'll all be broke, and thus my predictions of strategic global default will eventually come to pass. Some think that a Greece and Spain (despite all Michelle's efforts) default are inevitable.
Don't believe a friggin word they say folks. WE"RE GOING BROKE. Well, we're already broke, but in true American fashion, we won't admit it. So spike the markets and party like it's 2008! No worries mate, Fannie and Freddie are just fine and the Treasury should not need any more funds till at least the first quarter of next year. The clock is ticking. Of course the answer to the question is NOT TO QE II, but something tells me my voice and yours is as meaningless as ever in that argument.
My condolences to Matt Simmon's family. I hope no foul play was involved.Oil guru Matthew Simmons dies in Maine
And a personal moment for me to fucking bitch like hell about my power bill - fuck the utilities that have taken all our hard earned cash and gloriously pay out exorbitant dividends, mega salaries and bonuses all the while neglecting infrastructure so they can charge us ever increasing power bills. THIS SHIT IS GOING TO COME TO AN END AS WELL. You might as well prepare (eventually) for the utilities to become GSEs. Their piss poor management of the world's most lucrative cash flow (next to Goldman's prop desk) is just now starting to rear it's ugly head. The infrastructure is woefully inadequate for todays needs and those sumbitches are not doing a damn thing about it. Why? Cause they can't afford to and they don't want to. They can't afford to because they can't increase rates anymore and their bloated salary and dividend structures say all they can do is maintain what they have. They don't want to cause if they distributed electricity in an efficient manner, they would not be able to afford their exorbitant salaries and dividends. Get it? The catch 22? Fuck them. They are gonna pay for their greed and mismanagement sooner than later as they become one of the soon to be long line of GSE's that have proven to be "must save" corporations that the government "must have" to control the population. Better get off the grid while you can. Prices can't be raised any more. Sorry. They missed that boat, just like all the cities and municipalities borrowing to balance budgets, the endless game of ever increasing rate hikes is coming to an end cause we can't afford it any more. No rate hikes = less service and no money for structural improvements = busted system = government takeover. This was a good read - U.S. electricity blackouts skyrocketing. Be prepared America. They will be controlling your thermostats before to long. Oh, and Ge will get the infrastructure retro job, you can bet on that.
So the spin masters that artfully play extend and pretend and kick the can in order to save their ass for another year before the truth (that we all already know) comes out that the world is insolvent, come up with QE II. Ah, the Keynes spirit is alive and producing at it's finest hour, so have no fear of a Weimar repeat Apparently all the recent data from inventories to employment may just be real after all. Fed set to downgrade outlook for US from the FT appears to tee up the bad news we all know is coming. With San Francisco Fed: "A Recessionary Relapse Is A Significant Possibility Sometime In The Next Two Years" and Ben's statements about "Uncertainty" maybe we should take all this a bit more seriously.
Maybe the fact that GSEs Celebrate Geithner's Invitation To The "Recovery" With A Demand For $3.3 Billion In New Taxpayer Capital should be another clue. Maybe Rosenberg Slams "Doubly Pathetic" Non Farm Payroll Report might signal something is a muck. Maybe Here Come The Lies (Social Security) or Reality Beckons (Government Pensions) might clue someone to reality. Maybe the first lady's personal attempts to revive Spain's economy are supposed to inspire us to believe all is well and that she's just not abusing the few valuable taxpayer dollars left while she can (cause
If this is true Goldman Explains Why It Is "QE2 Or Bust" For Stocks Tomorrow then we're all screwed. I guess we have to face the facts that all $25 or so TRILLION we've pumped into save the
Mish rocks it in Fooled by Stimulus - Structural Problems Still Intact. "Even now, Bernanke displays little public awareness of what is going on. It would be interesting to hear what he says in private at the FOMC meetings in comparison to the soundbites the Fed delivers to the public. If FOMC soundbites represent what the man really thinks, Bernanke is nearly as clueless as ever, with little understanding of what went wrong or why, what the policy errors were, and what the Fed's role in this mess was." Move along, nothing to see here, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain. All is well and we'll just jeep trowing money at the problem cause the American Taxpayer is good for it.
Tomorrow's report is going to be another pack of half truths (I say that cause there will apparently be no speak of recoveries or V shaped recessions). Apparently the market is pricing in QE II and all the good stuff that comes with it. Deficits, schmeficits we're gonna spend toll we run out of ink or the presses go down for good. At the end, we'll all be broke, and thus my predictions of strategic global default will eventually come to pass. Some think that a Greece and Spain (despite all Michelle's efforts) default are inevitable.
Don't believe a friggin word they say folks. WE"RE GOING BROKE. Well, we're already broke, but in true American fashion, we won't admit it. So spike the markets and party like it's 2008! No worries mate, Fannie and Freddie are just fine and the Treasury should not need any more funds till at least the first quarter of next year. The clock is ticking. Of course the answer to the question is NOT TO QE II, but something tells me my voice and yours is as meaningless as ever in that argument.
My condolences to Matt Simmon's family. I hope no foul play was involved.Oil guru Matthew Simmons dies in Maine
And a personal moment for me to fucking bitch like hell about my power bill - fuck the utilities that have taken all our hard earned cash and gloriously pay out exorbitant dividends, mega salaries and bonuses all the while neglecting infrastructure so they can charge us ever increasing power bills. THIS SHIT IS GOING TO COME TO AN END AS WELL. You might as well prepare (eventually) for the utilities to become GSEs. Their piss poor management of the world's most lucrative cash flow (next to Goldman's prop desk) is just now starting to rear it's ugly head. The infrastructure is woefully inadequate for todays needs and those sumbitches are not doing a damn thing about it. Why? Cause they can't afford to and they don't want to. They can't afford to because they can't increase rates anymore and their bloated salary and dividend structures say all they can do is maintain what they have. They don't want to cause if they distributed electricity in an efficient manner, they would not be able to afford their exorbitant salaries and dividends. Get it? The catch 22? Fuck them. They are gonna pay for their greed and mismanagement sooner than later as they become one of the soon to be long line of GSE's that have proven to be "must save" corporations that the government "must have" to control the population. Better get off the grid while you can. Prices can't be raised any more. Sorry. They missed that boat, just like all the cities and municipalities borrowing to balance budgets, the endless game of ever increasing rate hikes is coming to an end cause we can't afford it any more. No rate hikes = less service and no money for structural improvements = busted system = government takeover. This was a good read - U.S. electricity blackouts skyrocketing. Be prepared America. They will be controlling your thermostats before to long. Oh, and Ge will get the infrastructure retro job, you can bet on that.
Morning Post, SPX, S&P 500, E-mini
UPDATE - I told you the 30m minis were rolling over. That is a big nasty 30m candle, but these can get reversed of course so have stops set.
Surprise! The minis are climbing. It should not last long as the 30m are topping and should be rolling over soon. All the speculation of QEII has the bulls all buzzing. Trade should remain in a consolidation phase till 2:15 Tuesday when the FOMC comes out. I have to say with the 30, 60 and dailys topping on the minis a bigger reversal may be coming here sooner than later. the weeklys are pushing up a la the P2 bull run we just escaped in April. We all know these markets are rigged, and we should be very cautious with our bets (and protect them as well). We have to wait and see the FOMC tomorrow.
Economic Calendar - Quiet.
Earnings Calendar - Most the biggies are finished.
SPX 60m - 1130 to 1150 is a wide range, but my target of 1140 is still alive. I do not think it SHOULD make it there as price SHOULD not even be here. I'll post something when I can.
As mentioned the 30m minis are topping yet the 30 and 60m SPX are climbing. Up to sideways choppy is what I'm calling for till 2:15 tomorrow. The dailys are embedding in overboughtland again. As I have been mentioning the weeklys are still very string.
Nothing much to say other than were consolidating in the end of the wedge headed up slightly waiting on the FOMC tomorrow afternoon.
GL!
Surprise! The minis are climbing. It should not last long as the 30m are topping and should be rolling over soon. All the speculation of QEII has the bulls all buzzing. Trade should remain in a consolidation phase till 2:15 Tuesday when the FOMC comes out. I have to say with the 30, 60 and dailys topping on the minis a bigger reversal may be coming here sooner than later. the weeklys are pushing up a la the P2 bull run we just escaped in April. We all know these markets are rigged, and we should be very cautious with our bets (and protect them as well). We have to wait and see the FOMC tomorrow.
Economic Calendar - Quiet.
Earnings Calendar - Most the biggies are finished.
SPX 60m - 1130 to 1150 is a wide range, but my target of 1140 is still alive. I do not think it SHOULD make it there as price SHOULD not even be here. I'll post something when I can.
As mentioned the 30m minis are topping yet the 30 and 60m SPX are climbing. Up to sideways choppy is what I'm calling for till 2:15 tomorrow. The dailys are embedding in overboughtland again. As I have been mentioning the weeklys are still very string.
Nothing much to say other than were consolidating in the end of the wedge headed up slightly waiting on the FOMC tomorrow afternoon.
GL!
Friday, August 6, 2010
Open Weekend Post
Some cool employment graphics are in U.S. Job Market Loses Steam
UPDATE - At least a month ago my buddy Rich Cash and I were trading posts discussing this. I have to find it credible - Fidel Castro: Obama can avert impending nuclear holocaust "The ``established order of the planet ... will inevitably collapse, the reigning social order will disappear abruptly'' and all currencies will be worthless, he added." You gotta at least consider it a possibility.
Drudge is railing the first lady's party in spain. If you need something to piss you off go there and read all his links.
LOL - Glenn Beck Compares Obama's America To 'Planet Of The Apes' (VIDEO)
Mish - Interactive Map of Failed Banks - August 2010 Update
As I read and chart and do things you do not need to know about - I'll post stuff here as I find it. I'll add updates to the top of the post.
Enjoy your weekend!
America Is at Risk of Boiling Over And out-of-touch leaders don't see the need to cool things off. "But do our political leaders have any sense of what people are feeling deep down? They don't act as if they do. I think their detachment from how normal people think is more dangerous and disturbing than it has been in the past." And to that Shanky says, "No SHIT!"
Here is one from the "WTF is happening to this country" file - Portland lemonade stand runs into health inspectors, needs $120 license to operate "After 20 minutes, a "lady with a clipboard" came over and asked for their license. When Fife explained they didn't have one, the woman told them they would need to leave or possibly face a $500 fine" You know, I compare this new socialist state to China and Russia and it actually pisses some readers off. To those readers all I have to say is WAKE THE FUCK UP! When your kid can;t set up a lemonade stand things are getting a bit out of hand if you ask me. Fing bullshit socialist controlled state we live in. We really need to get our government back and restore the constitution and our liberties.
If that is not oppressive enough for you this should give you warm and tingly sensations all over - BlackBerry irritates spy masters "At its core, the dispute revolves around the desire of governments in the Middle East and elsewhere to intercept and monitor the encrypted e-mail and text messages sent and received by corporate BlackBerry users (consumer BlackBerrys are much easier to monitor)." Fuck, they are gonna microchip tour fucking turds so they can track them before you know it. All I have to say is do not be surprised when most of those Alex Jones conspiracies start coming to fruition. This place is more out of hand than any of us know.
Aw shit, while I'm om the subject of international espionage why not cover Google goes to bed with CIA "Russia announced that it is working on a "national search engine" to stem Google's assault on the Russian speaking Internet. Allegedly, the government is ready to shed some $100 million to create such an engine." Faster and faster and faster they are shutting down and taking control of data sources for "their" benefit and to shut us down and out eventually. As this global financial crisis escalates (yes, believe it or not, it is far far worse than they are telling you) so do sovereign tensions. Things are literally spiraling out of control and no one has a grip on anything anymore. It is all reactionary which can not be good for any of us.I'm sure you have noticed the annoying 3 second delay when you load Google before the menu line pops up. Just makes you feel like you're being teed up doesn't it?
You would think the first family (especially the first black one) ruling in the toughest times any of us may ever face would be prudent and work harder than any before them to set the highest standards and best example they can. Well....apparently after a fling in Spain she needed a new coat. White House calling: Please will you make a coat for Michelle Obama or you have Barry taking his like 300th flight on Marine one (you do the math on that one, what is he joy riding with the kids and yes the rims on it are still stationary) Obama Choppers Six Miles For Economy Comments I mean, what did you really expect? The fucking Clampets have more sense than these two. Yes there is a difference between being President and a Monarch (or one of these titles emperor, kaiser, king, lord, mogul, satrap, sultan; authoritarian, despot, dictator, overlord, potentate, tyrant; royalty), ya think someone needs to let them know this?
UPDATE - At least a month ago my buddy Rich Cash and I were trading posts discussing this. I have to find it credible - Fidel Castro: Obama can avert impending nuclear holocaust "The ``established order of the planet ... will inevitably collapse, the reigning social order will disappear abruptly'' and all currencies will be worthless, he added." You gotta at least consider it a possibility.
Drudge is railing the first lady's party in spain. If you need something to piss you off go there and read all his links.
LOL - Glenn Beck Compares Obama's America To 'Planet Of The Apes' (VIDEO)
Mish - Interactive Map of Failed Banks - August 2010 Update
As I read and chart and do things you do not need to know about - I'll post stuff here as I find it. I'll add updates to the top of the post.
Enjoy your weekend!
America Is at Risk of Boiling Over And out-of-touch leaders don't see the need to cool things off. "But do our political leaders have any sense of what people are feeling deep down? They don't act as if they do. I think their detachment from how normal people think is more dangerous and disturbing than it has been in the past." And to that Shanky says, "No SHIT!"
Here is one from the "WTF is happening to this country" file - Portland lemonade stand runs into health inspectors, needs $120 license to operate "After 20 minutes, a "lady with a clipboard" came over and asked for their license. When Fife explained they didn't have one, the woman told them they would need to leave or possibly face a $500 fine" You know, I compare this new socialist state to China and Russia and it actually pisses some readers off. To those readers all I have to say is WAKE THE FUCK UP! When your kid can;t set up a lemonade stand things are getting a bit out of hand if you ask me. Fing bullshit socialist controlled state we live in. We really need to get our government back and restore the constitution and our liberties.
If that is not oppressive enough for you this should give you warm and tingly sensations all over - BlackBerry irritates spy masters "At its core, the dispute revolves around the desire of governments in the Middle East and elsewhere to intercept and monitor the encrypted e-mail and text messages sent and received by corporate BlackBerry users (consumer BlackBerrys are much easier to monitor)." Fuck, they are gonna microchip tour fucking turds so they can track them before you know it. All I have to say is do not be surprised when most of those Alex Jones conspiracies start coming to fruition. This place is more out of hand than any of us know.
Aw shit, while I'm om the subject of international espionage why not cover Google goes to bed with CIA "Russia announced that it is working on a "national search engine" to stem Google's assault on the Russian speaking Internet. Allegedly, the government is ready to shed some $100 million to create such an engine." Faster and faster and faster they are shutting down and taking control of data sources for "their" benefit and to shut us down and out eventually. As this global financial crisis escalates (yes, believe it or not, it is far far worse than they are telling you) so do sovereign tensions. Things are literally spiraling out of control and no one has a grip on anything anymore. It is all reactionary which can not be good for any of us.I'm sure you have noticed the annoying 3 second delay when you load Google before the menu line pops up. Just makes you feel like you're being teed up doesn't it?
You would think the first family (especially the first black one) ruling in the toughest times any of us may ever face would be prudent and work harder than any before them to set the highest standards and best example they can. Well....apparently after a fling in Spain she needed a new coat. White House calling: Please will you make a coat for Michelle Obama or you have Barry taking his like 300th flight on Marine one (you do the math on that one, what is he joy riding with the kids and yes the rims on it are still stationary) Obama Choppers Six Miles For Economy Comments I mean, what did you really expect? The fucking Clampets have more sense than these two. Yes there is a difference between being President and a Monarch (or one of these titles emperor, kaiser, king, lord, mogul, satrap, sultan; authoritarian, despot, dictator, overlord, potentate, tyrant; royalty), ya think someone needs to let them know this?
Morning Post, SPX, S&P 500, E-mini
Busy trading Jobs perspective -Disappointing NFP: Private Up Just 71k On Consensus Of 90k, Total Down -131K on Consensus -64K They sucked so bad Liesman could not make them sound good, alas the fully manipulated POS market is holding up nicely. When you sen your rep a note thanking him foe saving your 401k, please remeber to scorn him for destroying your country.
See that wedge below in the Sell Me post. that is the best I got. What should happen is if (yes I actually said if - caused this is a rigged POS market) the wedge breaks down it should fall pretty good. then look out for a possible backtest. Some indexes have trashed the wedge already earlier this week. I'm short SDS and FAZ from pre market. I'll look to add on the pop.
/ES chart - Not good. How is it not imploding - we can all now answer that question. Welcome to the Socialist States of America. You are now living in a place that is similar to China and the USSR. This is bull shit low volume control before the open. When the herd hits the gates at 9:30 let's see if they can hold back the rush. One at a time please.
See that wedge below in the Sell Me post. that is the best I got. What should happen is if (yes I actually said if - caused this is a rigged POS market) the wedge breaks down it should fall pretty good. then look out for a possible backtest. Some indexes have trashed the wedge already earlier this week. I'm short SDS and FAZ from pre market. I'll look to add on the pop.
/ES chart - Not good. How is it not imploding - we can all now answer that question. Welcome to the Socialist States of America. You are now living in a place that is similar to China and the USSR. This is bull shit low volume control before the open. When the herd hits the gates at 9:30 let's see if they can hold back the rush. One at a time please.
Thursday, August 5, 2010
Sell Me, Please Sell Me!
No post tonight as I am literally about to implode with anger over all the lies and fraud and manipulation that is all so blatant a 3rd grader can see it. It all comes clean in the morning at 8:30 with the employment report. According to squawk box GS was "quietly" accumulating longs today. Was that to support the market or do they know something? I don't understand the calm or quiet this week in the markets. The economic news has not been all that hot, and the lack of speculation coming into the number (usually there are pops or drops in front of such a release) is unusual to me. What, did the get the lithium out a week early in the water supply?I'll go out on a limb and say we're possibly topping out a large right shoulder of a pretty big HnS pattern that has a descending neckline. This can be seen on some of my longer time frame charts.
This 30m chart of the minis says it should fall. If the numbers are good in the morning and it pops I'm going to suspect it is fake out beak out. These incredible setups got abused in P2 by the algo bots, so it can happen again. Consider this for your amusement only at this time. I'm in cash.
This 30m chart of the minis says it should fall. If the numbers are good in the morning and it pops I'm going to suspect it is fake out beak out. These incredible setups got abused in P2 by the algo bots, so it can happen again. Consider this for your amusement only at this time. I'm in cash.
Morning Post, SPX, S&P 500, e-mini
I wrote all of the below last night. The update after the Initial Claims Surge To 479K, Trounce Expectations Of 455K, Severe Deterioration From Last Week's 460K we have some clarity. The question is will they shrug off this data as well?
The minis did this (see the wedge below).
Copper may actually be topping here, but it is in a larger wedge with more room to run up to that green diagonal.
A chart you should be really interested in is Wheat futures. Russia is now hogging all theirs and not exporting. This may be a sign of the future folks. Pay attention here. Looks like the price of a lot of what we eat is about to double.
Dollar is sitting on it's daily 200ma and nearing a 61% retracement. You UUP lovers may want to keep your eyes on this one. Lots are projecting a turn here.I think it pops and winds up in the 60's if not lower (if not becoming defunct eventually).
AUD/JPY looks to be turning.
Stockcharts is still busted and I can't update anything. As soon as I can I'll post something.
Well, we're figuring it out that if you miss the action before 10:30 you can write it in for the rest of the day. Let the bots take it from there. Why the bots? Well with figures like this And Scene: ICI Reports 13th Consecutive Week of Massive Domestic Equity Outflows As Banks Start To Panic there are not many of "us" left in the game.
Economic Calendar - Big day today and tomorrow. Check it out and know what's hitting when.
Earnings Calendar - Into the energy sector and some other vagrant issues that are off the major fraud scale.
We remain in la la land as far as price action. Some counts have us in the final thrust, some heve us as topped and some have even loftier highs ahead. The confusion we've been discussing the past couple of weeks is not much more clear now than then. We're all thinking higher but how much? I'm actually considering calling a top here as the dailys are diverging and my BFF the 30m chart is screaming sell. Sadly I've been inhabited by the spirit of the weekly chart that (if correct) says we've got some more room to run. If that is so the rectangle may provide a nice measured move to some good fib targets. On the other hand the TA (esp on the minis) has the wedge ending with what I'd call some severe overbought conditions on top of some really cruddy fundamentals (excluding the earnings/accounting/QE stimulus fraud we've been witnessing. The comps have been easy as hell, but they start to get tougher soon, so the easy money is now behind us.
Patience is key I'm allowed to lose mine, but you have to keep yours. My suggestions 1) if it breaks out to the upside a) it could be real and may take it to my 1040 target or I will warn against the fake out breakout and 2) if she falls, once 1116 is gone she'll pick up some steam headed south. This fall will be real and it will be hard. I say keep the powder dry till a clear direction is made, jump fast and keep those stops tight. We're gonna be making a bunch of money soon, hang in there and GL!
StockCharts Java applets are screwing up and I can't annotate anything fight now (kinda pissing me off), so you get ToS charts! The best I can come up with right now is this daily chart of the minis. The wedge is clear as a bell and so are those overbought indicators and decreasing volume. The VIX had a slight divergence yesterday morning, look for it to possibly happen again.
The minis did this (see the wedge below).
Copper may actually be topping here, but it is in a larger wedge with more room to run up to that green diagonal.
A chart you should be really interested in is Wheat futures. Russia is now hogging all theirs and not exporting. This may be a sign of the future folks. Pay attention here. Looks like the price of a lot of what we eat is about to double.
Dollar is sitting on it's daily 200ma and nearing a 61% retracement. You UUP lovers may want to keep your eyes on this one. Lots are projecting a turn here.I think it pops and winds up in the 60's if not lower (if not becoming defunct eventually).
AUD/JPY looks to be turning.
Stockcharts is still busted and I can't update anything. As soon as I can I'll post something.
Well, we're figuring it out that if you miss the action before 10:30 you can write it in for the rest of the day. Let the bots take it from there. Why the bots? Well with figures like this And Scene: ICI Reports 13th Consecutive Week of Massive Domestic Equity Outflows As Banks Start To Panic there are not many of "us" left in the game.
Economic Calendar - Big day today and tomorrow. Check it out and know what's hitting when.
Earnings Calendar - Into the energy sector and some other vagrant issues that are off the major fraud scale.
We remain in la la land as far as price action. Some counts have us in the final thrust, some heve us as topped and some have even loftier highs ahead. The confusion we've been discussing the past couple of weeks is not much more clear now than then. We're all thinking higher but how much? I'm actually considering calling a top here as the dailys are diverging and my BFF the 30m chart is screaming sell. Sadly I've been inhabited by the spirit of the weekly chart that (if correct) says we've got some more room to run. If that is so the rectangle may provide a nice measured move to some good fib targets. On the other hand the TA (esp on the minis) has the wedge ending with what I'd call some severe overbought conditions on top of some really cruddy fundamentals (excluding the earnings/accounting/QE stimulus fraud we've been witnessing. The comps have been easy as hell, but they start to get tougher soon, so the easy money is now behind us.
Patience is key I'm allowed to lose mine, but you have to keep yours. My suggestions 1) if it breaks out to the upside a) it could be real and may take it to my 1040 target or I will warn against the fake out breakout and 2) if she falls, once 1116 is gone she'll pick up some steam headed south. This fall will be real and it will be hard. I say keep the powder dry till a clear direction is made, jump fast and keep those stops tight. We're gonna be making a bunch of money soon, hang in there and GL!
StockCharts Java applets are screwing up and I can't annotate anything fight now (kinda pissing me off), so you get ToS charts! The best I can come up with right now is this daily chart of the minis. The wedge is clear as a bell and so are those overbought indicators and decreasing volume. The VIX had a slight divergence yesterday morning, look for it to possibly happen again.
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